Politics

Fed Decision in September?

59%
$5.5m Vol.Sep 16, 12:00 AM

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$3.3m Vol.128 outcomes

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$2.8m Vol.128 outcomes

Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?

$914k Vol.17 outcomes

Brazil Presidential Election

$624k Vol.32 outcomes

Next French Presidential Election

$621k Vol.128 outcomes

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$601k Vol.128 outcomes

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

$411k Vol.6 outcomes

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

18%
$293k Vol.Jan 1, 5:00 AM

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%
$290k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

$267k Vol.28 outcomes

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

4%
$209k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?

$202k Vol.23 outcomes

Israel closes its airspace by September 30?

10%
$180k Vol.Oct 1, 3:59 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

28%
$169k Vol.Dec 31, 12:00 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

3%
$126k Vol.Sep 30, 12:00 AM

Elon Musk # tweets September 3 - September 5, 2026?

$101k Vol.10 outcomes

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

$83k Vol.34 outcomes

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

$58k Vol.24 outcomes

Trump out as President by September 30?

1%
$57k Vol.Oct 1, 3:59 AM

Iran leader end of 2026?

$53k Vol.121 outcomes

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

$52k Vol.36 outcomes

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

$51k Vol.6 outcomes

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

$51k Vol.5 outcomes

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

$49k Vol.5 outcomes

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

$42k Vol.4 outcomes

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%
$41k Vol.Dec 31, 12:00 AM

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%
$41k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?

$40k Vol.4 outcomes

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

9%
$39k Vol.Oct 31, 12:00 AM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

23%
$37k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Maduro Prison Time?

$37k Vol.5 outcomes

Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

$33k Vol.3 outcomes

Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

$33k Vol.37 outcomes

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

$32k Vol.5 outcomes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

$32k Vol.4 outcomes

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

$31k Vol.15 outcomes

Which party will win the House in 2026?

90%
$30k Vol.Nov 3, 12:00 AM

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?

16%
$27k Vol.Dec 31, 11:59 PM

US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

$27k Vol.3 outcomes

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$26k Vol.5 outcomes

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

$25k Vol.7 outcomes

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

49%
$23k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Trump out as President before 2027?

6%
$22k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?

$21k Vol.4 outcomes

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

$21k Vol.3 outcomes

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

14%
$20k Vol.Jan 3, 12:00 AM

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

22%
$19k Vol.Sep 6, 12:00 AM

Iran leadership change by...?

$19k Vol.5 outcomes

Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?

$19k Vol.26 outcomes

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$19k Vol.57 outcomes

Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?

52%
$18k Vol.Sep 13, 12:00 AM

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

21%
$18k Vol.Dec 31, 12:00 AM

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

$18k Vol.32 outcomes

Ohio Senate Election Winner

$18k Vol.13 outcomes

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

$18k Vol.24 outcomes

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

$18k Vol.36 outcomes

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

$17k Vol.19 outcomes

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

$17k Vol.19 outcomes

Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner

$17k Vol.30 outcomes

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

$17k Vol.49 outcomes

Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?

$17k Vol.4 outcomes

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

6%
$16k Vol.Jul 1, 3:59 AM

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner

$16k Vol.18 outcomes

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

8%
$16k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?

$16k Vol.4 outcomes

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

17%
$15k Vol.Nov 30, 11:59 PM

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

$15k Vol.9 outcomes

Berlin State Election Winner

$15k Vol.24 outcomes

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

$14k Vol.28 outcomes

Next Premier of Quebec

$14k Vol.29 outcomes

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

39%
$14k Vol.Dec 31, 12:00 AM

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$13k Vol.71 outcomes

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

$13k Vol.32 outcomes

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

$12k Vol.64 outcomes

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

$12k Vol.6 outcomes

Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?

63%
$11k Vol.Sep 20, 11:59 PM

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

$11k Vol.3 outcomes

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?

$10k Vol.6 outcomes

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?

$10k Vol.4 outcomes

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

3%
$9.7k Vol.Open

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?

$8.9k Vol.4 outcomes

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

$8.9k Vol.55 outcomes

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner

$8.6k Vol.13 outcomes

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: SPD # of seats?

$8.5k Vol.6 outcomes

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

4%
$8.4k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

5%
$8.1k Vol.Jan 1, 4:59 AM

What will Trump say in September?

$8.1k Vol.23 outcomes

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?

$8.0k Vol.4 outcomes

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

$7.6k Vol.5 outcomes

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

$7.3k Vol.13 outcomes

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?

3%
$7.3k Vol.Oct 1, 3:59 AM

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

$6.9k Vol.34 outcomes

Ohio Senate Election: Turnout

$6.7k Vol.10 outcomes

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

$6.6k Vol.20 outcomes

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